AviationThe US has the most domestic flights scheduled for July 2020, but trails China when it comes to actual capacity on the flights being operated.

Steady recovery puts China on par with US as world's largest domestic aviation market

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Asia-Pacific countries account for 54% of the world’s total domestic flights in July.
Asia-Pacific countries account for 54% of the world’s total domestic flights in July. Photo Credit: Getty Images

Asia Pacific accounts for more than half of the world’s total domestic flights in July, with China showing particular strength in its recovery, Cirium revealed in its latest news analysis.

This puts China head to head with the United States in leading the world in domestic flights as air travel slowly resumes following a relaxation of travel restrictions, according to the travel data analytics expert.

Prior to Covid-19 the US was the largest domestic market globally, despite plunging 46% year-on-year in 2020, compared to 2019.

Domestic scheduled flights for July 2020 within the US still lead the world’s domestic aviation markets with 413,538 flights in total, compared to 378,434 flights within China. However, the US trails behind China when it comes to actual capacity on the flights being operated.

The fast-moving Chinese market shows almost 64 million seats scheduled for July 2020 on flights within China. This is a capacity slip of only 5% versus the same month last year, compared to the US capacity of over 47.4 million seats scheduled for the same month, which is still down a dramatic 46% versus July 2019.

“It is interesting to see China edging near the US, the previously dominant domestic market, and showing a return to similar levels of last year. However, the US has suffered a brutal 46% collapse versus July 2019,” said Rahul Oberai, managing director for Asia Pacific, Cirium.

The top 20 global domestic markets, per schedules for July 2020, account for more than 1.3 million flights in total, which has fallen by a third (32%) compared to 2019.

Of this top 20, Asia-Pacific countries account for 54% of the world’s total domestic flights, followed by North American countries at 33%, European countries with 9% and Latin American countries clocking in with just 4%.

Of the world’s 1.3 million scheduled domestic flights, 31% are in the US market, versus 29% for China.

In Asia Pacific, the only markets globally to show growth in domestic travel are Vietnam, South Korea and Indonesia. Vietnam’s scheduled domestic flights and seats are up an impressive 28% compared to the same month last year.

Alistair Rivers, Cirium director of market development – airlines and airports, said: “Cirium figures reveal a fragile but cautiously resurgent market, as the air travel attempts to recover from the worst collapse in its history, triggered by a fall in demand and the imposition of travel restrictions following the Covid-19 pandemic.”

A recent spike in Covid-19 cases in Melbourne, and the closing of the Victoria and New South Wales border, is mirrored with a 70% dive in Australian domestic flights scheduled for July 2020 compared to July 2019. The country also shows the biggest drop in the global top 20 with a massive 74% fall in domestic seats YoY.

Meanwhile India’s sizeable domestic market is also showing the first signs of recovery with flights scheduled for July 2020 down just 4% compared to July 2019.

The Covid-19 crisis has seen a dramatic reduction in the amount of passenger flights scheduled globally. Previous analysis of Cirium’s schedules data indicated that global airline capacity was expected to drop by 75% by the end of April 2020, compared with the same period last year.

Almost two thirds of the entire global fleet – of around 26,300 passenger jets – were in storage at the height of the crisis. This has since risen with 59% of the world’s fleet now back in service, however meaning 41% are still in storage.

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